I'll Do the Driving

Super Tuesday Results Liveblogging IV

1:56 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Alaska (R) -- Mitt Romney

1:05 AM

C'mon, New Mexico.  What the heck is your problem.

1:01 AM -- WINNER: American Samoa (D) -- Hillary Clinton.

Apparently the caucus in American Samoa was this afternoon, and Clinton won.

12:58 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Missouri (D) -- Barack Obama

All that's left now is the remaining couple percent of polls in St. Louis County.  That should be Obama territory anyways, but even if its not, the extra margins from Columbia and Kansas City that just came in should be sufficient padding.

12:36 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: California (D) -- Hillary Clinton

12:26 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: California (R) -- John McCain

Put a fork in the Republican primary race, because it's done.

12:18 AM -- PROJECTION: Obama will lead Missouri after the counting of regular ballots

I am not, however, ready to predict that he will win after provisionals, overseas military ballots, etc, are counted.

12:14 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Alaska (D) -- Barack Obama

12:14 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Arizona (D) -- Hillary Clinton

12:09 AM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Georgia (R) -- Mike Huckabee

I feel comfortable enough to call this again.

Super Tuesday Results Liveblogging II

10:01 PM

Romney isn't even winning by that much in Massachusetts.  If he doesn't win tonight in California, it's over.

9:59 PM

Huckabee is in good shape in Georgia, unless McCain can run up a truly gigantic margin on him in Fulton County (Atlanta).

9:56 PM

Obama seems to be slowly opening up a margin in Connecticut.  With both New Jersey and Massachusetts going to Clinton by comfortable margins, he needs this one.

9:43 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Massachusetts (D) -- Hillary Clinton

9:34 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Kansas (D) -- Barack Obama

9:33 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: New Jersey (D) -- Hillary Clinton

9:22 PM

Clinton has a huge lead in Massachusetts at the moment, although it's worth noting that no reports are in yet from Boston or Cambridge.  Still, she looks in pretty good shape here.

9:15 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Delaware (D) -- Barack Obama

9:06 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Delaware (R) -- John McCain

Maybe this is going to be a fantastic night for Sen. McCain, after all.

9:04 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: New York (R) -- John McCain

9:01 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: New York (D) -- Hillary Clinton

Super Tuesday Results Liveblogging I

8:55 PM -- PROJECTION -- Mitt Romney will not win Georgia.

Romney has a bit of an edge in the overwhelmingly-Republican Northern suburbs of Atlanta, but is trailing elsewhere.  And with about half of Cobb and Gwinnet Counties in, that's not gonna make up the current margin behind Huckabee.  He could theoretically still catch McCain for second.

8:32 PM

What a shocker!  The two candidates with deep connections to the state of Arkansas win easily there.

8:31 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Arkansas (R) -- Mike Huckabee

8:31 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Arkansas (D) -- Hillary Clinton

8:27 PM

Fairly impressive gender gap in Mass.

8:24 PM

Wow.  The racial polarization on the D side in Alabama is rather impressive.  Obama did okay among whites in Georgia, but he's going to win Alabama pretty much entirely on the black vote.

8:12 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Tennessee (D) -- Hillary Clinton

8:11 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: New Jersey (R) -- John McCain

8:10 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Massachusetts (R) -- Mitt Romney

8:08 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Connecticut (R) -- John McCain

8:06 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Alabama (R) -- Mike Huckabee

8:05 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Alabama (D) -- Barack Obama

8:04 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Illinois (R) -- John McCain

8:04 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Illinois (D) -- Barack Obama

8:03 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Oklahoma (R) -- John McCain

8:01 PM -- PROJECTED WINNER: Oklahoma (D) -- Hillary Clinton

7:51 PM

As a heads-up, polls close in the following states at the top of the hour: Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois,  Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Tennessee.  Alabama, Connecticut, New Jersey, and Missouri are likely the most interesting.

7:44 PM

Talking Points Memo has up some Democratic exit polls.  Same caveats apply.

7:24 PM

Take these with a major grain of salt, of course, but NRO has a bunch of leaked Republican exit polls.  Interestingly, if these are correct, this won't be the decisive night for McCain I think we all expected, and it will be a very good day for Huckabee indeed.  Of course, leaked exit polls are notoriously inacurate, so again, major grain of salt.  On another note, NRO's ridiculously obfuscated URLs deeply offend my inner geek.

7:08 PM --  PROJECTED WINNER: Georgia (D) -- Barack Obama.

Exit polls suggest a 2-1 margin for the Senator from Illinois.  A very good start to the night for him.  Meanwhile, the GOP side looks like a tight three-way race.

7:05 PM -- WINNER: West Virginia (R) -- Mike Huckabee

I'm sure everyone knows this already, but for completeness sake, I'll mention that Mike Huckabee won the West Virgina Republican convention held earlier today.  He took the winner-take-all event on the second ballot after Ron Paul and John McCain supporters favored him en masse over Mitt Romney, who had a plurality of the first ballot.

7:02 PM

Welcome to the first quandrennial I'll Do the Driving Super Tuesday results liveblog.   I'll be your host through this evening, up until we have a result in California.  (But probably not American Samoa; I'm not staying up all night.)

Super Tuesday Results Liveblogging: Prelude

Tonight I'm going to try something new: liveblogging election returns, complete with my own projections independent of those made by the major networks.   I may not be at the computer right at 7 PM EST when the polls close in Georgia, but things should be hopping by the time a bunch of states close at 8.